lirik lagu aresh banaji – using collective intelligence to build better futures
ilana lipsett, senior program manager, iftf
as a community engagement practitioner and partic~p~tory designer, i’ve found that the process of partic~p~ting in the creation of something can be just as transformative and influential as the final product, service, or offering
similarly, partic~p~tory futures exercises will not only produce exceptional results in terms of quality, robustness, creativity, and diversity, but the process itself will have long~term effects on partic~p~nts. peoplе who have previously been excludеd from futures thinking will gain a sense of agency, preparation, and communal narratives and actions for the future by actively partic~p~ting in visioning, developing, and reacting to many futures
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what do you mean by partic~p~tory futures?
according to a nesta research published in 2019, partic~p~tory futures are “a range of ways for involving individuals in exploring or designing prospective futures.” its goal is to democratize and foster long~term thinking, as well as to inform current communal actions.” because strategic foresight has its roots in western military history, there was rarely room for active partic~p~tion from ordinary citizens, let alone marginalized groups. partic~p~tory futures has multiple benefits if we want to expand the reach and accessibility of foresight to better prepare society to face unexpected challenges: it can democratize the way futures is practiced, it can lead to more comprehensive solutions, as diverse inputs can lead to more innovative outputs, and it can catalyze action toward a preferred future
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“we believe that in the twenty~first century, places that tap into community intelligence will succeed. those who don’t will be trapped by out~of~date thinking and practices.”
— nesta’s “our futures, by the people, for the people” report from 2019
futures with a partic~p~tory approach in action
for over a decade, we’ve been incorporating elements of partic~p~tory futures and forecasting into our projects at iftf, whether it’s through multiplayer games like superstruct in 2008, or by bringing together hundreds of diverse stakeholders to create future visions, or micro~forecasts, as part of a partic~p~tory strategic plan process like cal state university long beach’s (csulb) “beach 2030.”
the world’s first massively multiplayer forecasting game was superstruct. in 2008, over 7000 people from all over the world were challenged to create solutions to the difficulties and possibilities that lay ahead, including pandemics, disrupted food supply chains, and widespread human migration (sound familiar?)
in addition to the scenario and video suggestions, blogs, videos, and wikis were used to enable player partic~p~tion and responses. “we show you the world as it might look in 2019,” the instructions added. you demonstrate what it’s like to live in that location. bring your knowledge and connections, and together, we’ll find out how to make 2019 a world we want to live in.”
our interactive futures game produced two outcomes: 1) a diverse and original output (we studied the inputs and results to build our 2009 map of the decade) and 2) a sense of agency over one’s own particular destiny. when a real pandemic struck ten years later, superstruct partic~p~nts, as well as partic~p~nts in the iftf’s futures thinking on coursera.org who were tasked with thinking about how they would help others during a pandemic, told us that they felt less anxious as they figured out how to respond because they had already “lived” through it
beach 2030 partic~p~nts — students, alumni, faculty, administrators, staff, and community members from california state university long beach — were able to create concise micro~forecasts and then respond to others’ through our online platform, the foresight engine, allowing for a robust, engaging (and fun!) conversation to take place online over two days. this finally aided the institution in developing its two~year strategic plan and allowing it to see where it intended to take the school
everyone in the csulb system was asked to take part in an online discussion about various areas of higher education and university life over two days
partic~p~tory futures projects can also take place on a variety of publicly accessible platforms, including a broader audience that isn’t always tied to a specific organisation. nour batyne was a guest speaker on our iftf foresight talks webinar series recently to discuss her work with resilience 2032, a partic~p~tory futures project based on “social media theater.” this project allowed people, particularly young people, to imagine themselves in the year 2032 and engage with concerns that they might face in the future, such as climate change, racial injustice, and food access. partic~p~nts were encouraged to rethink their engagement in the political system by hosting weekly conversations on these issues on disquisitive live, a weekly talk show from the future livestreamed on facebook. the ultimate goal was to try to increase voter turnout in the 2020 election by hosting weekly conversations on these issues on disquisitive live, a weekly talk show from the future livestreamed on facebook
“partic~p~tory work is not top down,” nour said in the webinar. it’s what you can co~create with one another.” following the weekly talk shows, partic~p~nts would have 30~minute zoom talks during which nour would engage them with futures tools including world~building, artefacts from the future (including political advertis~m~nts), signals, or the futures cone. these lightning~fast debates would result in prototypes of characters, events, and decisions that would eventually shape the world of 2032
nour batyne requested people to express their future visions for resilience 2032
partic~p~tory futures: key principles
from corporate stakeholder engagement to government and policy~making, partic~p~tory futures techniques can be employed across sectors and industries. for example, j~pan’s future design movement is involving ordinary residents in envisioning their cities in 2060 to aid in the development of future~oriented policies
here are some crucial concepts to consider when developing a partic~p~tory futures approach for your own work, strategic planning, policy or product creation, or any other project
it’s not just about crowdsourcing; it’s about tailored feedback as well. establish a clear structure for people to follow in order to partic~p~te. the foresight engine for beach 2030’s, for example, invited people to reply with either “positive imagination” or “shadow imagination” in one direction or the other. be clear on who your stakeholders and partic~p~nts are and should be at the same time
with common signals, scenarios, or forecasts, “level set” what the future will be. because our brains aren’t wired to focus about the future, a shared and specific storey will serve to pique people’s interest
to ensure maximum involvement, diversify your medium. make sure the technique you’re using to collect feedback is accessible (language, modality, format), and be willing to listen to how individuals contribute as well as what they share
allow partic~p~nts to respond to and build on each other’s responses by working in groups. superstruct was created on the basis of a wiki, which fostered extended chains of collaboration. this structure allows for a diverse range of perspectives as well as a considerable influence on second, third, and fourth level repercussions
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make room for all stories. create a climate of transparency and trust so that individuals feel comfortable co~creating and their stories can be heard, particularly from bipoc communities. pay attention to what should be stated and how it should be said
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